Europe: It’s a No Brainer - Ditch the Euro, Preserve Democracy, Justice and Freedom
“If the Euro fails, then Europe fails”- so said Angela Merkel, the German Chancellor. This is what we have been hearing from pundits and experts for weeks now. Predictions of economic Armageddon if the eurozone breaks up have been aired ad nauseam by politicians and experts. Commentators and journalists hardly ever ask the two most important questions. Why? How?
The Euro as the currency of seventeen diverse countries with their different cultures, lifestyles, traditions, tax and spend regimes is dead. The sooner we realise that, the better it will be for everyone. Research by the Centre for Economic and Business Research (CEBR) predicts a rosier future after a short sharp shock of eurozone collapse. In an article in the Telegraph, headlined “Collapse of the Euro will help Britain”, the conclusions of the research are presented as:
“Britain will be better off in five years’ time if the eurozone breaks up than if the single currency survives the debt crisis, research suggests today. The disorderly break-up of the euro would mean a short, sharp economic shock and probably a recession, but would be followed by a quicker return to strong economic growth, according to the Centre for Economics and Business Research. The economists also predict that break-up would free many eurozone members from the deficit-cutting austerity policies that threaten to subdue their growth for years.”
The article quotes the research thus:
“If it [the eurozone] breaks up the immediate pain is much more intense, but then there is a more stable basis and we would expect that within about 30 months growth will actually be faster than if the eurozone survives in its current form.”
I am no economist, but this analysis makes a lot of sense to me and probably to most people in Europe. In the absence of cogent explanations to the contrary from politicians who have invested a lot of capital in the Euro, and are influenced by self serving institutions and lobbyists, I'd put my trust in the CEBR conclusions.