Reply to a friend: where are the Ukrainian uprising and Novorussian counter-offensive?
The Saker ■ I friend just sent me this in an email and I thought that the best thing to do what to reply with a post. Here is what he wrote: I've been wondering something for some time now regarding the "war" in Ukraine and Novorossiya. Occasionally I hear mutterings from the NAF about "going on the offensive" sometime soon (supposedly when a certain turning point has been reached or some unnamed goal accomplished). However, it has surprised me that there has as of yet been no small operations or maneuvers in greater Ukraine and specifically in Kiev itself. It would seem to me that a targeted covert campaign would be within the scope of the abilities of the NAF, no? Planned incidents and/or hit and run strikes within the city that would lessen the taste for war among the (it would appear) mostly indifferent people. Or is it thought that this might actually add some resolve to continue the fighting? History shows such actions to be the pattern, though the overall effectiveness of such tactics can be fairly questioned in most cases, I think. Curious as to your thoughts. This is a very interesting question and a fairly complex one. In reality, there are two distinct issues here:
a) why is there no apparent resistance in the rest of the Ukraine?
b) where is the Novorussian counter-offensive?
The two issues are linked by a common denominoator, but they are qualitatively different. I suggest we take them one by one.
Anon./The Saker: All is Quiet on the Western Front?