Bosnia-Serbia Crisis

Xoaquin Flores

The granting to Bosnia of EU candidacy seems innocuous as generally this is a decade plus long path, but it instantaneously legitimizes precisely the kind of catalyst I have previously described could kick off the war crisis in Bosnia.

This new phase of the crisis is where we will see Sarajevo attempt to illegally ram through changes to the constitution on the basis of being 'EU compliant', changes meant to strip the autonomous status of the Serbian Republic.

The Serbian entity within Bosnia Herzegovina is a small population of just 1. 3 million Serbians, but geographically makes up half or even more of the entire country of Bosnia Herzegovina. Life for the Serbian population there in the Serbian Republic has been fair, and there are no issues of violence with the Mecca-Vatican Bosnian entity adjacent to them.

The socio-economic life isn't different from rural Serbia, and there isn't a strong case for changing what for now is a workable status quo. This was one arrived at during the war in the 90's, before the US bombing campaign. At that time, Serbia/Yugoslavia held the advantage, and the Dayton Accords which created the modern Bosnian state genuinely reflected a larger degree of Serbian interests than we would observe in any accord afterwards.

While Bosnian Serbs for larger reasons would like to rejoin with the UN member-state 'Republic of Serbia', with its capital in Belgrade, the Serbs control both sides of the border between Republic of Serbia and the Serbian Republic within Bosnia and Herzegovina.


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