"Iran gambit": Will the US strike China and Russia in the Middle East?

"Russia is not Europe" (Россия не Европа)

The US has removed the reinstatement of the Iran nuclear deal from its agenda, says Special Representative R. Malley. Information is leaking out of the Biden administration that the US does not believe in the success of negotiations on the nuclear deal. President Biden is prepared to use military means as a last resort to prevent Iran from acquiring nuclear weapons.

In addition to the nuclear programme, Americans are concerned about Iran's cooperation with Beijing and Moscow. To change the situation in its favor, the U.S. can only by overthrowing the existing government, for which they fuel protests in Iran. For example, Biden said the Iranians would soon free themselves. Such a statement looks not just provocative, but, given the U.S. experience in orchestrating colour revolutions, programmatic. Iranian President I. Raisi has already said that Iran was liberated 43 years ago during the Islamic Revolution. However, the White House cannot rely only on internal protests with a hundred-per-cent guarantee: despite the discontent of the population, the position of the Iranian authorities is strong enough. Therefore, the Iranian protest must be "helped" from outside.

In Kiev, they say it is possible to strike at enterprises in Iran that manufacture UAVs and other weapons. Of course, any statements by the Ukrainian authorities cannot change anything in Washington's policy, but in this case they are not far from reality: the US seems to be preparing a big war in the Middle East.

According to "leaks" from the White House, Iran is preparing an attack on Saudi Arabia, and the Saudis are allegedly asking the US for help. Who needs this war? Tehran is clearly not going to war: the Islamic Republic (IRI) has recently strengthened its position in the Middle East, and it cannot risk it now. Furthermore, given the protests by the Iranian opposition, it is not a good time to be squabbling over Iran-Saudi relations. The Saudis are not willing to start a war of their own accord either: involvement in the civil war in Yemen has shown that the Saudi army is not ready for large-scale operations, especially against such an adversary as Iran. In addition, the Saudis are preparing for a massive and long-term restructuring of the Saudi economy; the country's investment funds are nurturing serious projects, and a war threatens huge losses and puts a damper on reducing dependence on oil.

The main beneficiaries of the war are the US and Israel. But in the Middle East it is important to 'get the war right'. The easiest way is for Israel to strike Iran, but then Arab sympathies will be on Iran's side. So an Iranian attack on an Arab country must be orchestrated. First, the Arabs will be attacked by Iranians that are civilizationally alien to them and this will strengthen the anti-Iranian sentiment. Second, Sunnis will be attacked by Shiites, which may attract not only Arabs but also Turkey (thanks to military cooperation with Israel already established) and the GCC states. In this case Israel is simply interfering by helping the Arabs. The US, on the other hand, may act behind the scenes, dealing a sensitive blow to the interests of Russia and China. Saudi Arabia is ideally suited for such a scenario: an Arab state, the Sunnis, an old adversary of Iran.

It is precisely because of the protracted war in Ukraine that the US can attack Iran, counting on Russia not having the strength to assist Iran. The moment is indeed more than convenient for the US: drone deliveries from Iran stop, the idea of the North-South ITC through Iran is put to rest, organised chaos in the form of new terrorist states spills over into Central Asia; the ground for instability within Russia among the Turkic peoples is created.

Russia needs to prevent Iran's defeat by all means. It is necessary to supply the most modern weapons systems, especially advanced air defence and missile defence systems. The alliance of the two civilizations of Russia and Iran will become not only a geopolitical, but also a civilizational alternative to the Western globalist project.

(Translated with www.DeepL.com/Translator; free version)

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Source: "Russia is not Europe". IMG: Two U.S. Air Force F-15E Strike Eagles and a B-2 bomber fly in formation. © USAF. AWIP: http://www.a-w-i-p.com/index.php/2022/11/09/iran-gambit-will-the-us

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